Happy anniversary! One year ago today, extreme oversold conditions ignited a rally for the ages. Today, it’s time to acknowledge the other extreme: Stocks finally reach the rare overbought zone. Last October, it was a lonely call to suggest “a massive rally is coming soon.” But when you’re armed with evidence-rich data, those crowd-stunning calls […]
Investing doesn’t have to be complicated. Simply own great companies…especially technology names. 2 key signals forecast strong gains for NASDAQ stocks. Let’s be honest, clouds of uncertainty are everywhere you look. We’re facing: The list goes on and on. Sounds complicated, right? It doesn’t have to be. Focus where institutions are placing their bets and […]
October brings falling leaves, pumpkins, and spooky Halloween. It’s a season of change. The same goes for election years in the stock market. Here’s your 2024 October surprise playbook. The term October surprise dates back to the 19th century as presidential elections routinely experienced unexpected events heading into November. Recent notable October surprises include: Could there […]
For years now, a popular mantra has been cash is king. Wealthy households poured into money markets at a breakneck pace. We are now witnessing the unfolding. The trillion-dollar money market bubble is set to unwind. Ring ring. Hello? Hi Mrs. Debbie, Mike here with XYZ Financial, it’s time to discuss where to park your cash […]
The Fed finally did it. They cut interest rates. Our equity stance is summed up as follows: R.I.P. Bears! So often, traders overcomplicate stock market price action. You can see it all over the media with recaps of yesterday’s wild ride. Major indices were up triple digits during the Fed presser… then they finished the […]
The time has finally come. A new macro chapter is unfolding. Rate cuts are imminent, buy small- and mid-cap stocks now. The September doldrums came right on time with all market-cap flavors taking a beating. As I write this, the S&P 500 dropped 2.5% in September and the S&P Mid Cap 400 has dropped 4.7%. […]
Most believe equities have gone nowhere the last 2 months. On one hand that’s true. On the other, there’s a monumental money shift into dividend growth stocks. As I’ve said many times before, money rarely leaves the market – it rotates. And right now, we’re witnessing one of the largest rotations in recent memory. Over the last […]
If you’re only focused on Tech stocks right now, you’re missing out. A massive rotation that began months ago is in full force. Interest rates are falling. And that makes a bullish case to own real estate stocks into yearend. One of my favorite write-ups this year signaled a monster reversion trade was coming. If you […]
Think the market’s done going higher? Think again. There’s more pain coming for the bears. Today, we’ll make the data-driven case of how the S&P 500 can reach 5900 by yearend. Here’s the reality, stocks have an incredibly strong setup on the macro front: These few facts alone are a powerful cocktail to keep the […]
It isn’t often that investors rush for the exits all at once. But when they do, grab stocks with both hands. August’s ETF liquidations signal epic gains ahead. Investors often look for catalysts before buying stocks. Maybe it’s a positive earnings call or some hot new gadget with explosive growth potential. On the macro side […]
Investors are running scared. Markets are plummeting as volatility surges. Here are 7 important words to heed: Capitulation is here, now go buy stocks. Turn on any financial news network and you’ll find plenty of reasons to take your portfolio to the sidelines: The list goes on and on. And while these concerns are real, […]
Most investors are unaware of the rebirth occurring in the stock market. A flat-lining S&P 500 masks the monster strides the average stock is making. Today we’ll be visualizing the breath-taking cyclical rotation trade that’s not slowing down anytime soon. Stock picking shouldn’t be a popularity contest. It should be a profit contest. For years, […]
The monster rotation is gaining steam. This is very healthy action that’s long overdue. Here are 3 reasons small-cap stocks are heading a lot higher. Yesterday’s 3.65% selloff in the NASDAQ 100 was the worst since 2022. All major indices got clobbered, but mega-cap Tech in particular felt the brunt of the latest market-cap reshuffle. […]
We’re witnessing one of the most powerful rotations in recent history. And it has more room to run… Wall Street’s trade of the year is in full force. Rarely does a rotational quake strike equity markets. But when positioning reaches extremes, it’s only a matter of time before a breath-taking unwind occurs. Literally one month […]
To me, great research is defined by what you say when times are tough…not when the gettin’ is good. Let’s rewind the tape back to October when the Big Money Index (BMI) alerted an incredible setup. Not only did we pound the table that a breath-taking rally was coming, we have the equity performance to […]
If your stocks aren’t holding up this year, you’re not alone. Most equities are behaving wildly different than major indices. The Big Money Index plummets to new lows in 2024. Last week we discussed how a monster reversion trade is coming. The average stock in the S&P 500 is drastically underperforming the overall cap-weighted index. That […]
The appetite for stocks is off the charts. …especially mega-cap tech names. This has caused market breadth readings to plummet. But don’t fret because now’s the time to get ready for a monster reversion trade for the Ages. Let’s face it, if you’re not holding the handful of AI-fueled growth names right now, odds are […]
It’s a wonderful time to be a stock investor. Not only are markets making all-time highs, select names have incredible multi-year tailwinds. Many of those reside in the Technology space. Here are 3 easy reasons to buy semiconductors hand over fist. A lot has happened the past week: With markets and high-quality tech stocks reaching […]
Did you get the memo that it’s time to buy Technology stocks? Of course you didn’t. The media has been focused on job growth and rate cuts. But the reality is tons of growth stocks were dumped last week. That’s good news because capitulation in Tech stocks signals massive upside ahead. Lots of folks discuss […]
Stock investing is simple. Just hold great companies. But it can get simpler when broad indices find a tailwind. That’s the situation today. One bullish omen for the NASDAQ just fired. Data has a way of cutting through the non-stop noise. As institutions buy and sell there are repeatable patterns that offer clues as to […]
The bad beats keep coming for the bears. Markets chug higher week after week as money flows surge into growth pockets of the market. We’re witnessing one of the strongest stock picking environments in years. Here’s how to find the most powerful winning A.I. stocks like Celestica (CLS). Today’s message is very simple: The next […]
The way to make money in stocks is to bet big when the crowd is uninterested. That’s our playbook year after year. The biggest small-cap opportunity seen in years is here now. You can feel the change in tone the last few days. As inflation continues its death spiral, investors are finally coming around to […]
Markets have been quiet lately, effectively trading flat the last 2 months. Investors are looking for the next catalyst to lift equities higher. We’ve got you covered as we see a very positive forward picture unfolding. Today we’ll share 3 reasons we’re gearing up for a summertime rally. Coming into 2024, our stance was simple: We […]
Plenty of growth stocks are feeling the pain. That’s what happens when institutional demand grinds to a halt. Don’t fret. One rare setup just fired, indicating a major ultra-bullish signal is approaching. The rips and dips keep coming for equities. The Fed presser from yesterday offered little confidence for investors. We’ll let other research shops […]
Our data has been down-trending for months. Our North Star, the Big Money Index (BMI), has been falling from extreme overbought conditions since February. A falling BMI indicates that institutional sponsorship (inflows) is drying up. As you can see, while the rate of decline for the BMI has moderated, it’s still breaking new lows: Until […]
Fear is swirling. Equities are under pressure. When the bottom falls out of the Big Money Index, a huge opportunity is around the corner. Wow. What a difference a week makes. We’re finally witnessing a pullback that most thought was impossible. The overarching bullish sentiment seemed to never stop. That is, until recently. A cocktail […]
If you want to learn how markets work, study supply and demand mechanics. When buyers are more aggressive, stocks rally. When sell orders are increasing, equities fall. The latter is what is causing the Big Money Index (BMI) to make a fresh year-to-date low. I’ve mapped the BMI to the Russell 2000 (IWM) ETF as […]
Poll investors on which areas of the market are up the most since the October lows and odds are they’ll quickly say Technology. That’s actually the right answer. However, Financials are quickly closing that leadership gap. Since the market lows in October, only 3 groups have gained over 30%: Communications Services, Technology, and Financials: While […]
Money rarely leaves markets. It rotates. We are in the midst of a massive rotation favoring recent laggards. Small-caps will make all-time highs sooner than investors realize. As a data researcher, nothing gets me more excited than when a narrative shifts. Often, behavioral changes begin subtly…then the forward picture illuminates. Last week, I highlighted how Energy […]
Boomtown isn’t just in growth stocks anymore. The data is shifting. Here are 4 smart reasons to buy energy stocks now. The Fed effectively greenlighted stocks at yesterday’s meeting. With 3 rate cuts estimated for 2024 in the dot plots, Wall Street and policy is in lockstep. Markets like to be on the same page. […]
